Harsh as it may sound, there are several ways those who are still liquid can profitably take advantage of a global downturn which is still causing much suffering to others 3 years after the credit crunch began.

One of these ways, which Torcana identified more than two years ago, is to purchase highly discounted and undervalued properties from distressed sellers. To maximise the return and minimise the risk of these types of properties, they must be purchased
 
- in wealthy, democratic economies
- with a history of renewal and recovery from recessions
- in fundamentally sound cities and neighbourhoods
- where locals rent long term
- where locals have and are currently purchasing these properties

Apart from that, the properties must be fully completed, cashflow positive and in well located and well run buildings or communities.
 
I´m sure there are plenty of other types of properties that can make you a healthy profit, but these are the ones we´ve identified with the best risk/reward ratio. It´s difficult to see how these kinds of properties will give any serious problems over the next 5 years and the potential benefits are huge.

So our criteria is very strict, but we´ve found plenty of properties that tick all these boxes and the latest is Arbor Lakes in Orlando. Here you can buy for 30 cents on the dollar in a beautiful and pre tenanted condo with 7-9% net rental yields.
 
If you haven´t received an information pack, please send an email to investments@torcana.com and request one.

 

Kind Regards

Colin Murphy

I read an interesting little article today on realtytrac, which is very similar to the philosophy Torcana have been following in Florida these past 2 years.  I´ve summarised the main points below.

“Buy low. Rent smart. Sell high.” It should be every real estate investor’s mantra in today’s market. It is for investor, author and educator Andy Heller.

“I think the entire country right now is for sale,” said Heller, who recently founded the newly launched social networking website RealtyJoin. “A few areas are marginally better because they experienced greater falloff, so they have greater growth potential.”

To Heller’s way of thinking, the best strategy for investing in real estate today comes down to three ingredients: buying at a significant discount, buying the right type of property to attract the types of tenants you want to rent to, and lastly…location.

“To me, for investors the bigger issue – as opposed to what parts of the country are better than others – is all parts of the country are great so long as you can buy low enough,” added Heller. “ Today the investor should be buying property between 30 and 60 percent off.”

Based on data from RealtyTrac, National Association of Realtors (NAR) and Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), all of the metro areas on the list below had an average discount of at least 35 percent on foreclosure purchases, positive year-over-year growth in median home prices and relatively low unemployment rates.

 

If you´d like to see how to apply these principles to our newest investments, please get in touch with us today.

 

Kind Regards

 

Colin

I´ve had a few clients ask me about the new Irish government bonds recently and what the pro´s and con´s are for these versus a real estate investment.

Whilst these bonds guarantee a standard rate of return, in reality, they are not offering anything new, with some of these incentives already achievable through various savings schemes already in place. The main points are –

1. Interest Rates are fixed at 1% per annum, and DIRT is payable on the interest earned.

2. Bonuses are the only part of the scheme which are not taxable and you must leave your money in for a minimum of 5 years to receive any bonus (10%), 7 years to receive a 22% bonus, and 10 years to receive a 40% bonus.

3. After 10 years, the net return after DIRT would be equal to 3.96% return per annum – which certainly isn´t enough to get me to part with my cash for 10 years.

Additionally, these figures do not allow for any inflationary indexing. In other words, as the value of products and services go up, the value of your investment remains fixed, and there remains the very real potential that any interest and bonuses earned will be dramatically wiped out due to rising inflation.

Further information available here

 

Compare this to the “bricks and mortar” test in Florida –

 

1. You will achieve an annual rate of return on your investment at a minimum of 7 to 8% net of all costs. Due to the allowances and deductions which exist, you should never reach the tax thresholds in the States where you are have an income tax liability on the net rental income achieved.

2. The rental leases are signed on an annual basis and you can expect them to increase year on year in line with inflation, thus protecting your net rental return from any significant inflationary increases. The bond scheme offers no such protection.

3. The capital appreciation potential in these severely discounted properties is very real in the medium term and would certainly have the potential to outstrip any potential bonus offered  under the government scheme (bear in mind you only receive a 10% bonus after 5 years, expect your condo to increase in value by more than this during the same period).

4. If you hold the property in Florida for the full 10 year government bond investment period, at a minimum you can expect a 7 to 8% annual rate of return on your investment every single year (a much higher rate of return than the bond scheme), and you will also benefit from significant capital appreciation after 10 years.

5. Your rental return will be in dollars, a very safe and strong currency at the moment, and certainly a lot less volatile than the “eurozone”. If the euro weakens any further against the dollar your rental returns will increase significantly in euro terms, as will the value of your investment.

6. Our Florida based investments are available for are approx 70% less than previous verifiable sales prices, and cost around 50 to 60% less than it would take to build the condos today.

7. Florida is an area of the States with excellent infrastructure, year round sunshine and lots of economic diversification. It is much better positioned to recover from the “bust” cycle than Ireland is at the moment.

 

Kevin Cross,  Torcana

People predicted dire consequences for the dollar during the height of the recession, most of which never materialized. Then again, history has taught us several times not to underestimate the incredible strength and resilience of the US economy.  

 

 
Over the past two years the €/$ rate has varied from $1.24 - $1.59, with an average of $1.41. It is now $1.27, more or less the same as it was in Oct-Nov 2009 and in Feb-March 2010.  
 
Despite the unpredictability of all this,  our feeling is that the euro will continue to weaken against the dollar for some time. It´s difficult to think about how this can be used to your advantage in the abstract so let´s use a Mosaic property costing $75,000, which is priced 65% lower than its peak.
 
Three months ago it would have cost you €55,000 to purchase $75,000. Now it would cost €59,000. It´s tempting to think that you´ve missed the boat as the price has “gone up” by €4,000 and/or that you´re not getting a 65% discount anymore.  Both are misleading.
 
Look at it the other way. You pay the €59,000 and in a few months time the US/EU exchange rate moves from $1.27 to $1.17 (very possible). If you convert your $75,000 back to euro you´ll get €64,000. Have you lost €4000 or gained €5000?
 
Put your money to work
 
There´s also the rental income you can earn (good luck getting 10% in an EU country from a €60,000 property), the capital appreciation potential (prices have still plenty of room to fall in most EU countries) and above all, the fact that  your money is working  hard in an appreciating asset in a recovering economy rather than languishing in a bank in a slow economy generating 1-2% interest.  Isn´t it better to read positive news about the US economy when you have assets there?
 
Florida property provides a lower cost asset, at a higher yield and significantly better capital appreciation potential than anything comparable in Europe.
 
More importantly, it is vital that investors start thinking about diversifying away from euro assets and into income generating assets in other currencies. You do not want to have all your money in euros when the US market is thriving and the euro currency outlook is weak and uncertain due to rogue member states.

 

Kind Regards

 

Colin Murphy

Torcana.com

Investors and property agents were jumping for joy last week when billionaire Warren Buffett said the U.S. residential real estate slump will end by about 2011. 

According to Buffet’s latest annual shareholder Letter, “the industry is in shambles for two reasons, the first of which must be lived with if the U.S. economy is to recover. This reason concerns U.S. housing starts (including apartment units). In 2009, starts were 554,000, by far the lowest number in the 50 years for which we have data.

Paradoxically, this is good news. People thought it was good news a few years back when housing starts – the supply side of the picture – were running about two million annually. But household formations – the demand side – only amounted to about 1.2 million. After a few years of such imbalances, the country unsurprisingly ended up with far too many houses.” 

Jokingly, Buffet offered three ways to adjust the imbalance:

1. Blow up a lot of houses, a tactic similar to the destruction of autos that occurred with the “cash-for-clunkers” program.

2. Speed up household formations by, say, encouraging teenagers to cohabitate, a program not likely to suffer from a lack of volunteers.

3. Reduce new housing starts to a number far below the rate of household formations. 

“Our country has wisely selected the third option, which means that within a year or so residential housing problems should largely be behind us, the exceptions being only high-value houses and those in certain localities where overbuilding was particularly egregious,” he said. “Prices will remain far below “bubble” levels, of course, but for every seller (or lender) hurt by this there will be a buyer who benefits. Indeed, many families that couldn’t afford to buy an appropriate home a few years ago now find it well within their means because the bubble burst.”

 

Kind Regards

David Shaw

Sales & US Sourcing Manager

Following my recent extensive trip covering the four corners of Florida looking for the best property investments I felt it would be useful to take some time to give you an update of the property market from the ground. This will be the first of three blog posts concerning Florida.

Firstly there are many amazing investment and lifestyle opportunities in the State of Florida, it is the 4th most populous US state, with an incredible infrastructure, hugely diverse economy and an abundance of natural beauty, unspoiled beaches and wildlife. The people are very proud of their state and I can see why.

There has been a lot of contradictory media attention about the US housing market, one day you might hear property prices are rising, the next that they are falling.

The reality is that just like the UK or Ireland, the property market in Florida is local and should be looked at on a micro level rather than taking investment decisions on a macro, state wide information.

Torcana work in the distressed market, which is quite distinct from the regular market. Within this market we concentrate on taking advantage of distressed sellers and developers who have relatively small amounts of unsold properties within very well run and well built resorts. These properties can be purchased for less than their construction cost. It is a very active and aggressive market and this type of distressed inventory is down nearly 50% year on year.

Kind Regards

David Shaw

Torcana Sales Manager

I hear this question daily, all that shines is not gold so please let me outline my view of the Florida property market.

A new build 900 sq ft 1 bedroom sea view condo in Miami cannot be measured against a 15 year old timber frame 550 sq ft  1 bedroom/studio in Ft Myers. It is essential to measure apples against apples. 

It seems obvious when phrased like that, but it isn’t stopping both amateur and professional investors of falling into the trap. Whether property prices are increasing, stagnant or falling – you still tend to get what you pay for.

Picture the town / city / village where you currently live and imagine there are many distressed sellers. Would your first reaction be to hunt down the very cheapest property available just because it is cheap and tenanted?  I’d imagine the answer for most of you is no, and that many would prefer to pay a little extra to get a discounted property in a nicer part of town, where the tenants are solid and a resale market can be clearly visualized.  This is how we feel about Florida.

Not everybody takes this approach. Over the last few months I have seen UK and Irish agents engage in what I can only describe as a “race to the bottom”. There is real pressure in this business to source the very cheapest distressed deals possible with scant regard to the ABC’s of smart investing.

It’s a pretty risky strategy for an agent to engage in, and it is not one that would be of interest to Torcana. No doubt the commission will come rolling in for a few months, but these agents will quickly reach a point where they either have to ignore large numbers of client complaints or they will have to dedicate ruinous amounts of company resources to solving messy aftersales issues.

It is our view that investors should not be satisfied with an agent who just sources property. A good agent is an essential service for a non professional as they help him/her (a) find the smartest long term investments available, (b) ensure the pitfalls of buying in a distressed market are avoided and (c) assist with a smooth transfer of ownership. 

Looking forward to your thoughts.

Kind Regards

David Shaw

Torcana Sales Manager

 

What type of properties do American tenants want to rent?

Is it easy to tenant a property?

How do I find out if a resort contains a lot of untenanted properties?

Calculating your net rental income / yield

Which developments are eligable for financing?

How do I know which developments are affected by foreclosures?

What is Home Ownership Association?

What are Property Taxes?

How do I know if the property is in a popular location?

 

 

 
 

What type of properties do American tenants want to rent?
Americans want to rent and buy large condos with 1 beds starting at 900 Sq FT, 2 beds 1050 Sq FT, 3 beds 1350 Sq ft, with good aspect, tall ceilings, new stainless steel appliances, new kitchen cabinetry, new carpeting and new tiling. They prefer relatively new concrete build apartments with 24 hr security in crime free areas. If your property does not display most of these attributes look closely at what is being offered. Do not look for immediate proximity to industry or job centres as Florida does not have many traffic jams and locals do not mind a 25 minute commute to work. The best rental and residential neighborhoods are not generally known or frequented by tourists.

Is it easy to tenant a property?
Do not believe an agent who tells you that a property can easily be re-tenanted should your tenant skip town. Finding tenants is hard work, and for some properties it can take a long time.  It is true that some well known developments are 100% occupied with a waiting list for vacancies. However these properties cannot be purchased for less than $ 70,000.

How do I find out if a resort contains a lot of untenanted properties?
I often see a situation where unwitting buyers are left to re tenant their single property while the developer has 100 vacant properties with a rental agency in the clubhouse of the development – talk about David vs Goliath. Always ask your agent how many untenanted properties are there in the community and verify this information independently by using the lettings section of craigslist.com or ask an independent local letting agent for this information. In the US, this information is available to the general public.

Calculating your net rental income / yield

To calculate net rental yields and income effectively please make sure you take the following into account and verify it with the letting agent:

Price: Both contract price and closing costs

Rental Income:  The actual monthly rental figure taking into account any incentives offered. Let’s say an agent tells you that the property is tenanted at $900 per month – sounds good. It’s not so good if the rental agent gave 3 months for free to the tenant to secure a quick letting - giving 15 months’ rent for the price of 12 =  $ 720 per month .

Running costs: These costs are unavoidable in the state of Florida, please make sure you always factor them all in to your yield:

1. HOA (home ownership association) – costs of maintaining the communal facilities and reserves
2. Property Taxes: every building in the USA has to pay them
3. Condo Insurance : allow min $ 50 per month
4. Rental management: fees are generally 10% of total monthly rent.
5. IRS reporting: You are legally obliged to make an IRS (tax) return. My accountant charges $ 200 per year to do this.

Gross rental income – Running Costs
    ———————————                             =   Net Rental Yield
Purchase price + closing costs

  Financing: In certain developments, getting finance for Americans is a lot easier than it is for foreign investors. Local buyers can receive an $8000 federal first time buyers grant and a 97%  FHA mortgage (Federal Housing Authority) underwritten by the big two federal mortgage lenders Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.

Fannie and Freddie have rating guidelines for lending. If your community does not have FHA mortgage approval this will usually indicate that there are some hidden issues in the development. These issues need to be discussed as they can have a dramatic affect on your resale market.

If there is no FHA Approval for your community some or all of the following criteria will not have been met: 

• At least 51% of the total units in the project must be owner occupied.
• At least 90% of the total units in the project have been sold.
  
• No single entity owns more than 10% of the total units in the project.
  
• The project, including common areas, is complete with no special assessments and no legal actions pending.
  
• The owners association has a reserve plan and a reserve fund, separate from the operating account and adequate to prevent deferred maintenance
  

Foreclosures: Some developments have very high rates of foreclosures or short sales.  All developments will have a few but some are devastated by them and the effect on the development can be felt in many ways:  the running costs of your property could increase and the quality of the communities occupants can deteriorate. An American owner occupier will avoid buying in a very distressed development.  

Home Owners Association (HOA) dues. A local buyer looking to purchase your property will look at the HOA cost. This payment is for the upkeep and maintenance of the community facilities, buildings, security and insurance. Some communities that were largely sold to investors with no money down, adjustable rate mortgages and a host of developer incentives are now in big financial difficulty.

When there are a large number of foreclosures and when owners are not paying their HOA dues, this can lead to a gradual downgrading of the services, amenities and rental potential.

In order to survive, the community will often levy a “special assessment” on the remaining owners, which could lead to HOA dues doubling from $200 pm to $ 400 overnight and destroying your rental yield in the process.

It is always prudent therefore to verify if there has been a special assessment in the past or if any are likely to be seen in the future.  This question should always be put to the HOA directly, they are legally obliged to tell you the truth on this matter - ask your agent for the number of the HOA and call them.

Sometimes, when a great looking property is being sold at a low price it is because the developer needs to sell his remaining units before the resort collapses – a bit like a chief executive dumping shares in his company a few weeks before bad results are announced.

If you do spot a unit you really like, you can reserve it and make use of a Florida law giving you a 15 day right of rescission. This allows you to do your due diligence and review all the condo docs and the HOA / Condo Budget.

Property Taxes:  Always verify the property taxes on the property you are buying. This can be done by finding what local county your property is located in and going to the County Property Tax Appraisers website and running a search on your exact property.  It will give you all previous sales history and a lot of useful information on your property. This information is public and easily assessed.

Location: Do not look for immediate proximity to industry or job centers as in general Floridians have very little traffic jams and do not mind a 25 minute commute to work. Middle class Americans look to purchase in areas with very low crime rates near good schools, sporting facilities, universities, parks, recreation facilities, low key village/town centres.

There are many more things to consider when looking at purchasing in Florida so please feel free to contact us before you make the decision.  These are just some of the questions Torcana ask and research heavily prior to bringing our clients the finished product.

Please feel free to email me directly on david.shaw@torcana.com to discuss further.

Kind Regards

David Shaw

Torcana Sales Manager