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Posts Tagged ‘Irish Times’


US Housing Stats and why the newspapers like confusing you
Tuesday, August 31st, 2010

August is usually a quiet time of the year for newspapers and magazines and so the latest housing figures in the USA received wider attention than they usually do.  Judging by the way the headlines were complied however, it would seem summer silliness isn´t quite over yet.

Colin Murphy, TorcanaConsider the headlines from last week:
 

- “US Home Sales Dropped to a 10 year low” (BBC)

- “US Homes drop to their lowest pace in 15 years” (Irish Times)

- “Sales of US Homes drop to record low” (Businessweek)

 
So sales are either the worst for 10, 15 or a “record” number of years, but either way, looks like very bad news right?
 

Hmmm, well no, it´s never that simple with these numbers unfortunately. If you looked for similar stories within these same reputable news organizations 4 weeks ago, you would have noticed an interesting contrast…

 

- “Sharp jump in US housing sales” (BBC)

- “Positive US Housing data lifts investor confidence” (Irish Times)

- “Sales of foreclosed homes are up nationwide” (Businessweek)

 

The above headlines might seem nonsensical when put beside each other, but the reason these respected organizations are giving US housing a big thumbs up in one month and a big thumbs down just a few short weeks later is easy to explain. They are looking at housing trends over a period of weeks rather than months or years. In addition to that, the last few weeks have been particuraly volitile because homebuyers were rushing to meet a government imposed deadline.

 

View our next blog if you´d like to read more on this subject.

 

Regards

Colin



 
Happy Birthday Credit Crunch!
Wednesday, July 15th, 2009

Next month will mark the 2nd anniversary of the credit crunch believe or not, and as Fiona Redden of the Irish Times has pointed out, this is as good a time as any to reflect on what lessons can be (re)learned. Among other things, she recommends a diverse portfolio, that we know when to cut our losses and take our profits, that we purchase a property based on predicted capital appreciation & rental income rather than add on incentives and that we always maintain a cash reserve.

Warren Buffet himself would be proud of such homespun wisdom Fiona.

Colin Murphy
Torcana.com



 
Chaos in Ireland’s newest “bad bank”
Friday, May 15th, 2009

I was quite dismayed to read the main headline in the Irish Times this morning confirming what many of us have feared - that the head of the National Treasury Management Agency (NTMA), who is supposed to be running the states “bad bank” has nowhere near the staff necessary to manage all these loans, and worse still, he still doesn’t know how it will be set up and operated.

Apparently a committee is being setup to have a discussion about it next week.  It’s enough to make a grown man weep.

 

Comments welcome.

 

Kind Regards

Colin Murphy

Director

www.torcana.com